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March 17th Monday Morning Coffee

By: John Ryan     Date: Mar 18, 2008
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>p>Monday Morning Coffee

One of my favorite times of the year is here and it is time to enjoy the games, have fun, and make some dough along the way as well. There are near equal opportunities in both the NIT and the Big Dance so don’t avoid the NIT simply because it si the “rookie” league so to speak. My NCAA year has been another solid performance led by a 7-3-1 ATS mark with 10* MONSTER Plays and an even more impressive 62% ATS with my last 91 5* Monster plays. 5* Monsters have been the staple of plays providing the greatest return to the bottom line. Despite losing my 1st 15* NBA Monster play, NBA releases are on a 7-2 ATS run and has hit 64% ATS over the past 30 days. NHL has been extraordinary making 4895, which translates into more than 17K in profits wagering just $100 per * unit play. So be sure to make a commitment to get all of my plays in each sport on a daily basis.

Looking at the NCAA Tournament I like Portland State. No, PS will not win this game, but they can keep it within 15 points based on the AiS projections. This is a 3* graded MAJOR with a 72% probability that PS will lose this game by 21 or fewer points. AiS shows an 85% probability that PS will get a minimum of 334 rebounds and also will attempt a minimum of 54 shots in this game. Note that PS is 23-9 ATS when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Plus, they are 19-8 ATS when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. PS also finds itself in several strong angles while there are angles working against Kansas. All four of these support PS. Note that PS is 11-0 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season; 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season; Kansas is just 2-8 ATS in road games after a conference game this season; 2-8 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive conference games this season. Taker Portland State to cvover this generous number.


 


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