So much for this being a down season for the St. Louis Cardinals. They may
have lost ace pitcher Adam Wainwright for the season to Tommy
John surgery, but the Cardinals are still the best team in the National League
Central at 30-21, good for 4.42 units of profit against the MLB betting
lines. The Cards finish up a nine-game road swing this weekend with a series
against the Colorado Rockies (24-25, –9.48 units) at Coors Field. Despite Wainwright’s absence, the Cardinals led the majors at press time with
32 quality starts – five of those by Jake Westbrook, who
otherwise has some ugly looking peripherals with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP.
Looking at the fancy-schmancy stats available at FanGraphs, we can interpret
that Westbrook has had some bad luck this season, judging by his .309 BABIP
(Batting Average on Balls In Play), up from .298 for his career. He’s also
stranding just 63.6 percent of base runners, down from 68.8 percent. Westbrook is already starting to get some of that karma back. Those
aforementioned five quality starts were in his last six outings, improving his
team record to 6-4 with a tidy 2.47 units of profit. The Cardinals already have
the best batting order in the NL with a .777 OPS, and Westbrook has gotten 5.0
runs per game in support. However, Matt Holliday (.996 OPS) is
uncertain to meet his former teammates in Friday’s series opener because of a
tight left quadriceps. The Rockies will face Westbrook after absorbing a disappointing 6-3 loss to
the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks (+151) on Thursday night while the Cards were
idle. Colorado is expected to start their supposed ace, Ubaldo
Jimenez (1.41 WHIP, 5.44 ERA), who is near the bottom of the money
standings at 9.25 units in the red on a team record of 1-7. First pitch is at
8:40 p.m. Eastern. Get all your MLB odds at
Bodog.
| Kyle Hunter | |
| Kyle Hunter MLB Season Pass (#1 Capper) *VALUE* Kyle Hunter's MLB Season Pass is the BEST value on the board. Through one month of the 2012 MLB season my clients have been CRUSHING the books. $1,000 bettors have profited more than $25,000 in the first month of the season! Get all my picks for the rest of the season! Join in the winning! - $499.99 | |
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