An investigation of the technical circumstances of each team can often yield meaningful historical trends. How teams have performed under certain conditions in the past, such as when home/away, a favorite/underdog, in a division/non-divisional game, etc, can portend future outcomes.

When a Division 1 college football team opens the season against a 1-AA opponent this has provided them with a perfect tune-up when they are installed as a home underdog in their next game as long as the price is right.

In Game 2, play ON a home underdog of ten points or less coming off a non-lined game versus an opponent off a straight up win. These home underdogs are perfect at 14-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 12.9 points per game.

After a victory in which college football teams were unable to put at least 7 points on the board, have struggled at home in their next game.

Play AGAINST home teams coming off a straight up win as a favorite scoring less than seven points. These home teams are 0-12 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 15.2 points per game.

After losing a game as a double-digit road favorite, teams have responded strongly in the role as road underdog of more than five points.

Play ON a road underdog of more than five points coming off a non-conference road/neutral site straight up loss as a favorite of ten or more points in their last game. These road underdogs are 17-0-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 10.5 points per game.

Coming off a spread-covering streak of at least seven games, road underdogs of less than a touchdown have not only covered the spread in their next game they have won every game outright.

Play ON a road underdog of less than seven points with five or more days rest coming off at least seven straight against the spread wins facing an opponent not coming off a conference home underdog victory. Not only have these underdogs covered the spread they have also won all eleven qualifying games straight up. Their record is 11-0 SU and 11-0 ATS covering the spread by 13.6 points per game.

While the vast majority of college football games are played on Saturdays, there are an increasing number of games played on other days of the week. These are usually primetime, nationally televised contests. Players and schools treat such games as special events, much like NFL teams have give extra attention to Monday Night Football.

We have uncovered many scenarios in which college teams not only perform to a consistent level in these highlighted contests, but also immediately preceding or following such games. Our system looks at teams after a non-Saturday loss to an unfamiliar foe, teams in the underdog role have been extremely strong against conference opponents looking to avenge an underdog loss.

In Games, 2-8, play ON a conference underdog of less than eleven points off a non-conference non-Saturday SU loss versus an opponent who is seeking revenge for an underdog loss. These conference underdogs have posted a record of 15-0 ATS and average covering the spread by 16.8 points per game.

We never recommend making a play based solely on a trend or system. The bottom line is you should never use a trend or system without sound reasoning and a strong record of performance to back it up. The relative importance of fundamental, situational and technical factors, including these systems fluctuates from team to team and from game to game. Sports gaming expertise is established upon the intelligent and insightful consideration and application of these factors in conjunction with a sound money management strategy.

Cajun Sports Wire won the 2009 Wise Guys Contest using our database as an integral part of the handicapping process. Each week during the football season Cajun Sports Wire releases a report with all the active systems for that week’s NFL and College Football games. Have a great 2011 Football Season and as always good luck!