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College Basketball 'Trap Games' - Potential Upcoming 'Trap Games'


By: Brandon Shively
Date: Jan 22, 2015
   
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It is that time of year when some of the Top Ranked teams in College Basketball will be playing in some huge games and it is very easy for these college kids to lose focus and get caught 'looking-ahead' to a big rivalry game or even a revenge game vs. one of their rival opponents. A lot of times, the game before one of these 'marquee' games is what I call a 'trap game'. I will identify a few teams to keep an eye as there will be an opportunity to 'Play Against' them in these 'Trap Games'. (1) Georgia @ Kentucky 2/03/2015----Kentucky will come into this game a 18+ point favorite more than likely and this is a huge 'Trap Game' for them as they have a triple revenge game @ Florida on deck. Florida swept Kentucky last season and beat them in the SEC Championship game also 61-60 as Florida had to rally to beat the Wildcats. Considering that Kentucky had to go into overtime to beat Ole Miss and only beat Vandy by eight points, I think that Georgia has a chance to keep this one in the 12-14 point range. Georgia's two losses in the SEC came by three points in 2OT @ LSU and by 4 points vs. Arkansas. They also beat a good Vandy team on the road 70-67. Georgia has shown me this year that they do not give up when losing and always believe they are in the game. If Kentucky builds a lead, the young kids might start thinking about the upcoming game @ Florida and allow Georgia to get back in the game and to cover what will be an inflated spread. (2) Marquette @ Villanova 2/04//2015----This is a "Trap game' for Villanova as they have a HUGE revenge game at home on deck vs. Georgetown. Georgetown just beat 'Nova 78-58. It was a terrible loss for them and I can guarantee you that they will be looking ahead to this game. Marquette has been a team that has been competing in the BIG East this season. Although they have not been getting 'Wins' , they still have not been getting blow out. Their 4 road losses have come by 3,3,4,and 6 points. In fact, their biggest loss of the season has been by 11 points, actually three times. I expect Villanova to be a double digit favorite in this game and I think Marquette has enough experience to keep this one respectable. Matt Carlino is a BYU transfer that is shooting lights out from the 3 point line. He can score 20+ in this game. Then they have a senior point guard and a senior in Juan Anderson who has been coming up big for them as well. Villanova swept Marquette last year so I don't see much motivation for this game. Let's look to possibly 'Play Against' Villanova in this ideal 'Trap Game'. (3) Duke @ Notre Dame 2/28/2015-----This will be a tough spot for Duke as they will be coming off a road game @ Saint John's and have a BIG revenge game on deck @ Virginia. Virginia will more than likely be undefeated and the Dukies know that they will have a shot of knocking them from the unbeaten ranks. Virginia took 2 of 3 from Duke last season, including a 72-63 defeat in the ACC Championship game. Duke will be playing a Notre Dame that is #1 in the nation shooting the ball at 52.8%. They are 8th in the nation making almost 9 three pointers a game and only turn the ball over 12% of the time. This is a very tough road game for Duke and HUGE 'Trap Game' with the revenge game on deck vs. Virginia. I expect this line to be close to a (Pk) or maybe Notre Dame no more than -2.5. Regardless, they have the team that can beat Duke and I will be looking to fade Duke in this game.
 

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