Home / Articles / CFB Perfect Avenger

CFB Perfect Avenger


By: Cajun Sports
Date: Sep 27, 2011
   
Print This Article    Add This Article to Favorites

This week we look at one of the most popular and sometimes overused situations in handicapping, revenge. Not every situation will have a team motivated to beat an opponent they lost to in their last meeting. Some teams may simply not match up well against certain opponents they face on a regular basis.

After several losses in a row in a series, a team probably suffers from a lack of confidence. In college football, series streaks are snapped in some cases when the losing team has vastly superior talent to the team that has defeated them. The talent advantage gives the team the much-needed confidence and motivation to finally get over the hump and get a victory.

Our situation isolates teams that are favored by a field goal or more and this tells us that the oddsmakers even though our play on team has lost five straight times their level of talent exceeds that of their opponent in this particular matchup.

SYSTEM: Play ON an undefeated favorite of 3 or more points seeking revenge for five SU losses vs. an opponent off a SU win. Our Play ON teams have a record of 13-0 SU winning by an average of 16.9 points per game and 13-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 10.0 points per game.

This week’s qualifying team is South Carolina as they face their nemesis the Auburn Tigers in Columbia on Saturday evening. The Gamecocks lost to the eventual National Champion Tigers last year 35 to 27 as a three-point road underdog.

Prior to last season’s game you have to go back to 2006 for another meeting between these two clubs, as they do not face one another on an annual basis. South Carolina lost at home 24 to 17 as a 13.5-point underdog in that contest. Auburn is 6-1-1 SU all-time versus South Carolina with SC’s only win coming back in 1933.

Most teams lose several games every year, so an average team could be playing with revenge in half of their games. For a game to truly be a time for revenge, the previous loss must stand out above the others for some reason. This is a conference game, which is always important, and the Gamecocks felt they had a legitimate chance to take down the eventual National Champions last season but missed opportunities cost them the victory.

Most recently, the system was active back on September 17 when Ohio University faced off against Marshall as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bobcats had little trouble exacting their revenge as they demolished the Herd 44 to 7.

This week’s system is active for the second time this season as the South Carolina Gamecocks host the Auburn Tigers on Saturday night. With all the system parameters met, this week’s CAJUN SPORTS WIRE NCAA Football Power System of the Week qualifies South Carolina as our Play ON team.

Cajun Sports Wire has released two NCAA Football 6* Selections this season. The first was their 6* College Football Game of the Month for September and it won with West Virginia (+2) defeating Maryland straight up 37 to 31 as an underdog. The most recent NCAA Football 6* was last Saturday with Arizona State (-2.5) defeating USC 43 to 22 as their PAC-12 Conference Game of the Month. Cajun Sports Wire Vegas Wise Guys Contest Champion make sure you join them each week for their top plays.


 


Click here to view all of Cajun Sports's premium picks.





10StarPicks Newsletter

Thousands are already profiting from our free picks, insider sportsbook news and sports handicapping leaderboard reports! Click below to subscribe for free.


Featured Subscriptions


Kyle Hunter
Kyle Hunter MLB Season Pass (#1 Capper) *VALUE*

Kyle Hunter's MLB Season Pass is the BEST value on the board. His clients have been CRUSHING the books. Kyle has held the #1 MLB ranking for weeks now. Get all my picks for the rest of the season! Join in the winning! - $499.99


Terron Chapman
Terron's Monthly All-Sport Access Pass

This package is a must have. It includes all of Terron's selections (any sport) for an entire calendar month. A no nonsense, no frills handicapper, Terron is a proven long term winner and this package can put you on the path to becoming one as well! - $199.99




Hottest Handicappers