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AFC West Preseason Report

Tony  Stoffo
Tony Stoffo

Tony Stoffo is the author of the famous gambling book, Money Management for the Year Round Professional.

By: Tony Stoffo
Date: Aug 10, 2010
   
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Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite.  I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season, especially this year with only 3 new head coaches throwing their hat into the ring. If you do your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money. This year as an example we have some teams on a 10-0, 11-1, and 15-2 preseason runs. Doesn’t get much better than that guys!!!

In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.

With 29 returning head coaches this season look for these solid early trends to really hold up big time for this preseason.

OK so here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each team in the division .

AFC West

Denver Broncos

Head Coach: Josh McDaniels – 2nd year

Bill Belichick disciple Josh McDaniels took over as the Broncos new head coach last season. McDaniels went 2-2 in both sides and totals in the preseason. However what really still stands out is the Broncos willingness to dominate in their final preseason game of the year going 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 with their only loss coming back in 04.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:   Kyle Orton, Brady Quinn, Tim Tebow,

Kansas City Chiefs

Head Coach: Todd Haley – 2nd year

Even with the Parcells/Belichick disciples Scott Pioli taking over as GM, and Todd Haley taking over as head coach The Chiefs continued their losing ways in the preseason making then now an unbelievable 1-11 against the spread over the past 3 years. Until we see a major turnaround will have to continue to fade the Chiefs in this spot.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Cassel, Brodie Croyle, Matt Gutierrez, Tyler Palko.

 Oakland Raiders

Head Coach: Tom Cable – 3rd year

Two solid preseason trends continued as Tom Cable took over as the Oakland head coach last season. The Raiders have gone a perfect 4-0 in their first preseason game over the past 4 years, and are just as bad in their final game going a money making 0-4 against the spread with 4 outright losses. So let’s look for both of these scenario’s to continue this season.   

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:  Jason Campbell, Charlie Frye, Bruce Gradkowski, and Kyle Boller

San Diego Chargers

Head Coach: Norv Turner – 3rd year

This will be Norv Turner’s fourth year as head coach of the Chargers. In Turner’s last head coaching job with the Raiders back in 04 and 05 a solid trend can be taken away from it that can give us an edge for the Chargers preseason games.  First of all in both of his dress rehearsal games in Oakland the Raiders went 0-2 against the spread, this trend has continued as Turner has not covered his dress rehearsal game the first 3 years in San Diego making him a perfect 0-5 ATS.  So let’s watch for when the Chargers play a Saints team on August 27th this year that have won their dress rehearsal game the past 3 years by a combined 88-14.  

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Phillip Rivers, Billy Volek, and Jonathan Crompton.


 


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