Thanks to an upset loss by the Green Bay Packers last weekend, the New
England Patriots are now the odds-on favorites at 6/5 on Bovada’s NFL odds to
win the Super Bowl. But are the Pats good or overrated? After all, New England
has not beaten a team yet this season that finished with a winning record. And
during the regular season, the Pats faced just three clubs that reached the
postseason and won only one of those games.
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Certainly New England’s best
competition so far comes in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game against the visiting
Baltimore Ravens. The Pats are 9-point favorites on Bovada and there will be
live play-by-play betting available.
During the regular season, the
Ravens (13-4) ranked No. 3 in the NFL in total defense, No. 2 in rushing
defense, No. 4 stopping the pass and third in points per game allowed at 16.6
ppg. And that unit has allowed more than 16 points just once in the last six
games. Last week in the divisional round, the Ravens forced four Houston
turnovers in a 20-13 victory in the team’s first home playoff game under coach
John Harbaugh.
But the Baltimore offense will need to
be better against the high-flying Patriots. Joe Flacco
completed barely 50 percent of his passes vs. Houston and running back
Ray Rice was held to 60 yards on 21 carries. The Ravens were
outgained by nearly 100 yards by a team with a third-string
quarterback.
New England (14-3) finished second in the NFL in total
offense this season behind a 5,000-yard season from QB Tom
Brady. And he was magnificent last week in the team’s first playoff win
since the 2007 season. Brady threw for 363 yards and an NFL-record-tying six
scores in the 45-10 blowout of Denver. Star tight end Rob Gronkowski
continued his amazing season with 10 catches for 145 yards and three
scores.
The Patriots have won nine in a row and scored at least 31
points in eight of those. Baltimore has had some success at New England,
however. The Ravens pushed the Patriots to overtime last regular season before
falling 23-20. The last time the Ravens played a postseason game in New England,
in the 2009 season, Rice scored on the first offensive play of the game --
running 83 yards for a touchdown. It was the second-longest run in NFL
postseason history and set the pace for a 33-14 win for the Ravens.
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