The break even point when betting - 110 lines with football is 52.38 %. If you can pick winners above the break even point, then you will be a winner at the end of the football season. I am going to try and help you select the right time and correct number to bet on for you to win above the break even point.
When to bet and why ? If you are going to bet on the underdog, you should try to lay your bet as late as possible. Most people like to bet on the favorites and if most of the money is bet on the favorite, then the book will move the line to make it more attractive to bet on the dog. Most recreational bettors flock to favorites, and why not, as they are the team that should win. When betting on the favorite, you should bet right when the line comes out. The longer you wait, the higher that number becomes.
What are the key numbers ? In football the key numbers are 3, 4, 6, and 7. The books don't like to come off these numbers, especially in the NFL. If you see a line change off a key number, you can be sure that there was a lot of money to make the book move the line off a key number. Around 14 percent of games in the NFL, that is 1 out of 7, are decided by a field goal. What this means is that if a bettor can lay 2.5 and take 3.5, they would have a legit edge of the book.
You can combine this information and other homework to become a more profitable sports bettor this football season and enjoy your hobby more. May all your bets be winners !
...winning and grinning...
Eddie McKinney
Fast Eddie Sports
| Chris Copeland | |
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