Mike Handzelek's CFB Week 3 Analysis & Review

By: Point Shaver Handzelek     Date: Sep 20, 2017


Saturday, September 16, 2017 Purdue vs. Missouri (NCAAF) - 4:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-114 Purdue Pick Title: 9 Star Bounce-back Public Missed Perception Play Of The Week (WIN) It certainly looks like Missouri @ home is in bounce-back mode after their loss to South Carolina. The public will be all over it but I don't see it playing out to that scenario. Missouri is off South Carolina but has another pivotal SEC game (again @ home for the 4th straight week) versus Auburn on deck. Now they're set to take on the upstart Purdue Boilermakers under the direction of 1st-year HC Jeff Brohm. Brohm has his offense humming along with his CO/OC's Brian Brohm (his brother) & Tony Levine (former HC @ Houston). A BIG part of their early success (had Louisville almost upset in Week 1, 35-28) has to be veteran QB David Blough (led the Big Ten with 279.3 yards passing per game, 25 TD passes in 12 games). Even though Blough struggled with turnovers last season, look for the Brohms to resurrect his game & turn the Boilers into a very competitive team. It's also nice when you have all of your RB's back as well with Markell Jones leading the way. Look for fireworks & excitement from this team. I like the fact that we're getting more than a TD here & Purdue covering 14 out of the last 17 on the road. With Mizzou HC Barry Odom firing his DC Demonte Cross last week,, it won't be good for overall chemistry or for defensive scheme continuity. Let's go to Memorial Stadium in Columbia to play the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS as my 9 Star Bounce-back Public Missed Perception Play Of The Week! Louisiana Tech vs. Western Kentucky (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 6.5/-118 Louisiana Tech Pick Title: 9 Star Transitional Advantage Game Of The Week (WIN) The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers were a covering machine under Jeff Brohm the past 2 seasons to the tune of 17-10-1 ATS. Now enter 1st-year HC Mike Sanford Jr. (son of former UNLV & Indiana State HC Mike Sanford, Sr.). This season, its' been quite a different story as Sanford is 0-2 ATS. It's going to be tougher to get back to the Conference USA Championship (they beat Louisiana Tech 58-44) since they lost 7 offensive starters including their 1,600-yard rusher in Anthony Wales AND with Middle Tennessee adding some stiff competition. This year, Sanford is resting on QB Mike White to have a repeat passing performance (4,363 passing yards with a 37/7 TD/NT ratio). Their offense struggled of late losing to Illinois 20-7 last week. I don't see much separation from these squads here. I love the fact that HC Skip Holtz has a great knack @ covering when installed as a dog especially with revenge. LT has an excellent chance to outlast UTSA & Southern Miss for the CUSA-West crown. I'm set to travel to Houchens Industries - L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY to play the visiting LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS as my 9 Star Transitional Advantage Game Of The Week! Kentucky vs. South Carolina (NCAAF) - 7:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 6.0/-110 Kentucky Pick Title: 9 Star SEC Pretender Play (WIN) I like the fact that we're getting tremendous line value on these Wildcats since the Gamecocks are coming off 2 straight spread-beaters (covering by a combined 32 points) winning SU as underdogs. Now Will Muschamp's team has been given too much respect as they've moved into the home favorite role against stiffer competition. South Carolina is 2-0 SU/ATS but are a pretender since their success is largely because of special teams & turnovers. They've actually been badly out-gained by North Carolina State & Missouri to the tune of 927-605 collectively this season. On the flip side of the coin, Kentucky seemed to lay down for some parts of the contests in beating both Southern Miss on the road & Eastern Kentucky @ home. These results have given us tremendous line value since the Wildcats lost versus the spread by a combined 25 points. In the recent past, HC Mark Stoops has beaten these Gamecocks 3 straight by 7, 4 & 7-point margins. i think you know where we're goiing with this. Let's make way to Williams-Brice Stadium in Columbia to play the KENTUCKY WILDCATS as my 9 Star SEC Pretender Play! Cincinnati vs. Miami Ohio (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -200 Miami Ohio Pick Title: 9 Star Sweet Revenger (LOSS) The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks have been so close to beating these rival Bearcats over the past 3 seasons. I think the door gets kicked in here! Miami by 7, 4 & 7-point margins over those games which has to be eating 4th-year HC Chuck Martin pretty bad. For those who don't remember Martin. He was the same coach that replaced Brian Kelly @ Division II Grand Valley State then went 74-7 from 2004 to 2009 winning 2 National Titles before joining Kelly @ ND for a few seasons. He's pretty much got everyone back (9 of 11 on offense & 8 of 11 on "D") including QB Gus Ragland. What I like about this game is the inconsistent play from Cincinnati's QB Hayden Moore. It certainly appears he's in sophomore-jinx mode & hasn't played outstanding to date. I'm expecting the same in this heated cross-town type rivalry. Let's jaunt to Oxford's Yager Stadium on their Homecoming to play the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS with a juiced-up home crowd as our 9 Star Sweet Revenger! Friday, September 15, 2017 Illinois vs. South Florida (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 17.5/-114 Illinois Pick Title: 9 Star Strongest lay On The Board (LOSS) Yes, QB Quinton Flowers is the most talented player on the field. However, the Fighting Illini defense for HC Lovie Smith isn't too shabby. I love the more-focused upstart 2-0 SU Orange & Blue to keep this one close. New HC Charlie Strong may just be bowl bound, but too many distractions tells me it's going to awful tough to win by 3 scores or more here. Let's grab the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI as my 9 Star Strongest Play On The Board! After a dismal start with the dogs, things are starting to pick up! Illinois was disappointing as was Miami, Ohio on homecoming with triple revenge. 2017 CFB Overall Seasonal Record: 6-8-----43%


 
 
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