Memphis-Auburn Official Betting Preview

By: Joe Duffy     Date: Dec 30, 2015


Presented is the scrutiny of pulling together key achievement indicators from a betting approach on the bout between Memphis and Auburn at noon ET in the Birmingham Bowl. The Las Vegas odds are Auburn -4 to -4.5 with a total of 62.5 to 63.5, with most houses of course in the middle at 63.

In a shocker at the Vegas and offshore sportsbooks, the public is actually betting on the over at a 63 percent margin. In fact, 77 percent of money line bets are on the underdog. Right at about the median, 74 percent of wagers are on the over.

Originating with the yards per carry data, the higher value offense is Auburn by .1. On the same part of the line of scrimmage, yards per catch bestows the control to Memphis by .7. Professional gamblers exploit the yards per point angle. The more fruitful unit with the ball in their control is Memphis by 1.5.

In halting rushing attacks, the senior ranked defense in accordance with rushing yards per attempt is Memphis by a substantial 1.2 margin. The tighter defense in terms of yards per pass catch would be Auburn by 3.3. The more troublesome defense making use of yards per point enlightenment is that of Auburn forcing .3 more. On the better segment of turnover ratio is Memphis by two.

Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread trends (all records against the spread): Auburn is 3-10 to teams with a winning record, 1-8 after allowing more than 450 total yards last game, 0-8 non-conference. Memphis is 8-21 after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Over/under angles: Auburn over 7-3 after getting less than 100 yards rushing last game. Memphis over 8-1 off win of 20 or more and over 8-3 off win.

Written by Joe Duffy of VegasTopDogs.com


 
 
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