Mike Handzelek's Week 9 CFB Analysis & Review

By: Point Shaver Handzelek     Date: Nov 1, 2017


Saturday, October 28, 2017 Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-108 West Virginia Pick Title: 8 Star Big 12 Donnybrook ATS Survivor (LOSS) These 2 teams usually have a full-throttle battle with each other til' one's offense runs empty! That's been the style of both HC's (WV's Dana Holgorsen & OSU's Mike "I Still Wear A Mullet" Gundy). There's not a whole lot that separates these 2 talent wise & I love the fact that the Mountaineers come in with DOUBLE revenge. lat week, West Virginia clearly took the foot off the gas late in a close win @ Baylor. I believe in QB Will Grier. He can keep his team in the game completing 66.3% of his passes thus far & has an excellent 26/5 TD/INT ratio. This one sets up to a real donnybrook! Let's travel to Mountaineer Field @ Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown to play the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS @ + 7 1/2 -108 as my 8 Star Big 12 Donnybrook ATS Survivor! Louisville vs. Wake Forest (NCAAF) - 12:20 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/-110 Wake Forest Pick Title: 9 Star Habitual Line-Beaters (WIN) This also promises to be a Donnybrook like our earlier pick. What separates these 2 is the fact that Wake returns home to their fast track field turf surface after their bye & straight grass losses against 2 tough opponents - Clemson & Georgia Tech. 5-3 SU Louisville of HC Bobby Petrino haven't done well ATS & is continuing to be over-priced in the favorite role where they currently stand @ a miserable 1-5 ATS. The Demon Deacons are clearly the fresher team (Louisville playing for the 9th straight week in a row) & HC Dave Clawson's squad are habitual line-beaters. They've consistent covered in 11 of their last 15 lined games & I don't see many reasons to buck that trend here. The Cardinals' "D" can be HAD as proven when Boston College came to Louisville 2 weeks ago to put up 45 points & 555 total yards of offense against them. Let's go to BB&T Field in Winston-Salem to play the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS (buying to + 3 1/2 @ -150) as my 9 Star Habitual Line-Beaters! California vs. Colorado (NCAAF) - 2:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -175 Colorado Pick Title: 9 Star PAC-12 Homer Call (WIN) There's not much to this play besides PROVEN ABILITY. That proven ability I speak of concerns the Golden Bears & their resiliency on the conference road. Coming into Boulder, Cal has now lost 10 consecutive conference roadies & still have roadies after this one @ Stanford & U.C.L.A.. I love the situation here! We have the Californians coming off a double-OT home loss now going on the road to a higher altitude with 1st-season HC Justin Wilcox. My bottom line says the crowd should be juiced up on Homecoming as the Buffaloes should capitalize on a weak rushing team like the Golden Bears who've only mustered a grand total of 246 yards on the ground their past 4 games (61.5 RPG). Let's go to grass @ Folsom Field in Boulder to take Mike McIntyre's Bunch-the COLORADO BUFFALOES as my 9 Star PAC-12 Homer Call! Penn State vs. Ohio State (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-130 Penn State Pick Title: 9 Star Proven Commodity Play (WIN) Accolades to HC Urban Meyer & his Ohio State Buckeyes for beating Army, UNLV, Rutgers, Maryland & Nebraska in succession the past 5 weeks after losing by a more-talented Oklahoma team 31-16 who just happened to come into Columbus as identical 7 1/2-point dogs (sound familiar?). I believe 4th-year @ Penn State HC James Franklin (stirring the pot once again) is pointing out that his team has come into today's venue & has been soundly beaten by the Buckeyes the past 2 times by a 101-34 cumulative count. Many mushes have also pointed out that the last time the Nittany Lions saw field turf on the road resulted in a narrow 21-19 road win in Iowa City against the Hawkeyes. But if you really looked @ both offenses that game, you've uncovered that Penn State thrived on the fake stuff accumulating 579 yards of offense (their most in a game this season) compared to Iowa's 273. My bottom line says the Nittany Lions' "D" must be given their due. On the road this season, they've given up an average of 74 1/2 rushing yards per game. If they make Ohio State one-dimensional, do we trust QB J.T. Barrett to thwart the Penn State defense that has NOT given up 200 yards or more to any of their first 7 opponents? To me, that's a lot to ask for against a proven commodity like PSU that's committed 6 giveaways opposed to 18 takeaways (+12) this season. Let's go to the Horseshoe @ Ohio Stadium to play the PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS as my 9 Star Proven Commodity Play! Appalachian St vs. Massachusetts (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -165 Appalachian St Pick Title: 9 Star Sun Belt Sunriser (LOSS) HC Scott Satterfield has excelled after starting this job just 1-5 SU back @ the beginning of the 2014 season. Since that mid-way point of the season, the Mountaineers have come back to go 32-7 SU including 2 consecutive Camellia Bowl wins the past 2 seasons. These 2 teams have met before. Ironically it was when both were Division 1-AA schools (now FCS) & facing each other in a 2006 National Title game which Appalachian State won 28-17. UMass comes into this game coming off their 1st win & a Homecoming blowout over 0-6 Georgia Southern. Look for the Minutemen to return to Earth & regress to their losing ways as HC Mark Whipple is a collective 9-34 since taking over this post 4 seasons ago. Let's move out to McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst to play the APPALACHIAN STATE MOUNTAINEERS for the "W" as my 9 Star Sun Belt Sunriser! Utah vs. Oregon (NCAAF) - 5:45 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -138 Utah Pick Title: 10 Star Strongest Play On the Board (LOSS) Yes, Kyle Whittingham's (13th-year, 108-53 on his career) bunch have now lost 3 in a row since opening the season @ 4-0. However, those were against the more elite of the conference - Stanford, U.S.C. & up & coming Arizona State. Now they go on the road to take on the 4-4 Oregon Ducks who also come into this one on a 3-game losing streak for new HC Willie Taggert. Remember, these Utes have that knack of covering road games & are usually under-valued. Coming into this contest, Utah comes in on a 6-game road ATS winning streak (15-5 ATS their last 20). Last season, they've beat a decent U.C.L.A. team as dogs @ the historic Rose Bowl in Pasadena. The Utes' defense have been very good @ creating turnovers with 18 this year. They now get to take on a QB Justin Herbert-less Ducks' team that's only averaging 22 PPG in-conference. I'm not sure if Herbert can really have a big impact if forced back into the lineup on too short of a notice. I'm also looking for new OC Troy Taylor's new system to kick in here with the passing game. (Taylor came over from Eastern Washington). We'll go to Autzen Stadium in Eugene to play the UTAH UTES with QB Tyler Huntley as my 10 Star Strongest Play On The Board! NOTES: Guys, I'm very disappointed in Utah's Whittingham & his game prep for Oregon! They looked like they've NEVER seen the Ducks operate before. Let's say, "So Noted" for the rest of the season. I'm still mystified how UMass got it done versus a successful App. St. squad? Has WVU topped off? That's a strong possibility! Look for our numbers to rise in the upcoming weeks when teams start showing their true colors especially those injured & fatigued. Book it! 2017-18 CFB Overall Seasonal Record: 23-22-----51%


 
 
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