Thursday, November 27, 2014
Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions (NFL) - 12:30 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 47.0/-108 Over Pick Title: Earlybird Turkey Totality Win
This Bears defense may have looked good the last 2 weeks, but that was @ home! The past 2 road contests, they have yielded 106 points. I believe QB Matthew Stafford can find the end zone enough here. The last 5 games, the Lion "D" has given up over 21 PPG. My Earlybird Turkey Totality says to play OVER in the Chicago-Detroit game @ Ford Field.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys (NFL) - 4:30 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 56.5/-110 Under Pick Title: Over & Under Smart Play Win
I feel this line has been too adjusted to compensate for up-tempo & high-powered offenses. Yes, it's prime time! But the last 4 Dallas games @ AT& T Stadium have ended on 45, 37, 52 & 37. Look for points to be scored in spurts only. Both of these defenses aren't as bad as last year's rendition in a game that ended 24-22. My Over & Under Smart Play says to play UNDER in the Philadelphia-Dallas game!
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 4.0/-115 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick Title: 8 Star Ugly Pig Play Of The Week Win
If it wasn't for some fluky turnovers, the Buccaneers had Chicago beat. In fact, this 2-9 team could very easily be 7-4 with 2 OT losses to New Orleans & Minnesota plus wire defeats to Carolina, St. Louis & Cleveland. Since their bye week, HC Lovie Smith has that Cover-2 Tampa Bay defense holding opponents to 19 PPG. this is a great situational matchup for the Buccaneers. They play the Bengals (ranked behind them defensively @ 24th compared to Tampa's 22nd) who face a 3rd straight road game with staring straight ahead at their divisional rivals Steelers & Browns the next 2 weeks. Despite the weak teams they've put out over the last 3 years, the linesmakers have over-adjusted them since their November ATS record over the last 12 is a window-cashing 10-2. My bottom line says the Bengals are not healthy on the offensive line & fail miserably ATS in the last of 3 straight away games going 1-5 their last 6 times. There's something more to this game where the Buccaneers have beaten Cincy 6 in a row SU. It's time for the uglier & more eager team to rear its head to erase the 0-5 SU record @ home this season. My 8 Star Ugly Pig Play If The Week says to play the Buccaneers for 80% ATS & 20 % on the ML!
Arizona Cardinals vs. Atlanta Falcons (NFL) - 4:05 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/-105 Atlanta Falcons Pick Title: 8 Star NFC Public (Missed Perception) Play Win
Many people are focusing on how good the Arizona defense is compare to Atlanta's that rank dead last in the league. Viewing newly-inserted Arizona QB Drew Stanton's progress on the road, I'm not sure if he can take advantage of this poor defense without a healthy WR in Larry Fitzgerald. Their offense is averaging 16 PPG over the last 3 weeks. This is a good situational matchup for Atlanta who now face a Cardinal team off 5 consecutive tough opponents, (2 divisional St. Louis, Seattle plus Philadelphia, Dallas & Detroit). My bottom line says the public is way too eager to hop on the Arizona bandwagon. I feel the eyes are deceiving here. Something happens to Atlanta when they lose a close one of 3 or less. The past 14 games in this identical situation, these same Black Birds have come back to go a ML window-cashing 13-1 SU! I'm ready to go to the Georgia Dome to take the Falcons as my 8 Star NFC Public (Missed Perception) Play but buy to + 3 1/2 for 80% of the play & put 20% of your pasta on the moneyline!
Carolina Panthers vs. Minnesota Vikings (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 42.5/-102 Over Pick Title: Surprise Total Of The Week Win
I look for the opposite to happen here in the cold outdoors of TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Carolina "D" has been bad all year. The Vikings have a pass defense that is certainly. susceptible. The Lions & Patriots were successful shutting the Minnesota offense down. However, the Falcons & Redskins games ended with 69 & 55 points on this field. With the Panthers offense having 2 weeks to heal & prepare, I expect better than average production. In the Carolina-Minnesota game, take OVER the total.
Oakland Raiders vs. St. Louis Rams (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 42.0/-105 Over Pick Title: 9 Star Inter-Conference Total Of The Week Win
The Rams are playing good ball overall even with some occasional lapses in between under newly-inserted QB Shaun Hill. They've been productive enough to beat Seattle & Denver in back-to-back home games after a slow 0-3 start @ home. Rams HC Jeff Fisher always has something up his sleeve. Even though the intensity won't be like taking on Seattle or Denver, the offense should produce knowing the Raiders won't be focused with a gigantic game with rival San Francisco @ home next week. Look for the scoreboard to light up as we're eager to cash the OVER in the Oakland-St. Louis game @ the Edward Jones Dome!