Mike Handzelek's CFB Week 14 Championship Week Analysis & Review

By: Point Shaver Handzelek     Date: Dec 3, 2017


Saturday, December 02, 2017 Memphis vs. Central Florida (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -250 Central Florida Pick Title: 9 Star Motivated Homer Call (WIN) There's no secret how motivated UCF is by not being recognized more for being undefeated. HC Scott Frost will also be showcasing his wares for a Power-5 school willing to make the move. Unlike the 40-13 UCF win earlier this season, this one will be tight with the Golden Knights prevailing. Lets go to Orlando to play the CENTRAL FLORIDA GOLDEN KNIGHTS as my 9 Star Motivated Homer Call! Georgia vs. Auburn (NCAAF) - 4:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: 110 Georgia Pick Title: 9 Star Headliner Moneyliner (WIN) There's not too much to this pick except to say they'll be an Iron Bowl hangover by Auburn. Early adrenalin could give the Tigers a momentary lead. However, Georgia's dynamic running game coupled with added revenge for that previous embarrassment gives us the ultimate edge down the stretch. Let's go to Atlanta in their home state of Georgia to take the GEORGIA BULLDOGS as our 9 Star Headliner Moneyliner! Miami Florida vs. Clemson (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -11.5/-110 Clemson Pick Title: 9 Star ACC Power Play (WIN) The Clemson team has been in this situation before. HC Dabo Sweeney has won this game back-to-back years over Virginia Tech & North Carolina. Yes, those wins were only by 7 & 8 points respectively. However, both of those opponents weren't in a downward flight after peaking. The Tigers are powerful except for when Junior QB Kelly Bryant went down @ Syracuse 27-24. They have a balanced offense & have a DC in Brent Venables whose 4-3 alignment is thriving all year holding opponents to a 290 total yards per game. Holding opponents to 3.1 YPR & 5.9 YPA is very impressive. Let's go to Charlotte's Bank of America Stadium to play the CLEMSON TIGERS (buying to the important - 9 1/2) as my 9 Star ACC Power Play! Ohio State vs. Wisconsin (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-110 Wisconsin Pick Title: 9 Star Final Four Reservation Stamped (WIN OFF BUY) Some of the mushes will quickly point out that Ohio State played a better schedule & will cruise to dominate again like they did 3 years in this game. No, I don't think they'll get waxed again 59-0. However, that score has stuck with the Badgers ever since. Now, it's do or die with the winner almost definitely vying for the national championship. In the numbers support us in this game as the underdog is a perfect 6-0 ATS since 2011. My bottom line points out that Wisconsin when getting 3 points or more AND allowing less than 19 PPG (12) is a lights-out 19-2-2 ATS! On the flip side of the coin, the Buckeyes are just 1-6 ATS versus 6-0 SU or better Big Ten competition. The dagger for us states that undefeated teams in conference title games (started in 1992) who yield 16.5 PPG or less are a window-cashing 12-2 ATS! Let's go to Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis to play the WISCONSIN BADGERS (buying to + 6 1/2) as my 9 Star Final Four Reservation Stamped! Stanford vs. USC (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 4.0/-107 Stanford Pick Title: 10 Star PAC-12 Decider (WIN) The first time around U.S.C. QB Sam Darnold shredded Stanford with over 300 yards passing on his way to a lopsided 42-24 win. However, don't look for the Trojans to go up and down the field with 600+ yards of offense again! The truth of the matter is points toward that same Sam Darnold being hot & cold. he now takes on a consistent Stanford squad that's only endured just that 1 defeat by more than 3 in their past 18 games. What's changed since that first meeting? Plenty has changed including a vast improvement @ the QB position. OC Mike Bloomgren (was a NYJ assistant coach from 2007-10) & HC David Shaw agreed it was time to let loose Red-Shirt Freshman K.J. Costello under center to see what he can do. Since that move, Costello has put up 8 wins in 9 starts with convincing wins in taking down PAC-12 North rival Washington & Notre Dame. This team has built some serious momentum coming into this affair. In the numbers show that rested teams (U.S.C.) are just 3-8 ATS in conference championship games against teams with revenge. If the team with revenge won 6 or more games the previous year, that team has covered 8 of the last 9 conference championships. If that SAME team was a 3 or more point underdog in their previous game, they are a PERFECT 4-0 ATS. In addition, the Trojans have been pretty much no-shows in their last 10 neutral site conference games where they've managed to cover just 2. My bottom line says until the PAC-12 South proves worthy (0-6 SU in conference championships), there's only one way to go. It's a tall order before Clay Helton gets close to filling Pete Carroll's or even John McKay's shoes achieving matched success @ Southern Cal. Riding the #2 rusher in the land (RB Bryce Love @ 168 YPG & 8.6 YPR) is the proven commodity. Remember, the Cardinal beat U.S.C. 41-22 (and 41-31 @ U.S.C. in the 2015 regular season) in the conference championship 2 years ago. Stanford also won in 2013 by a 38-14 count versus Arizona State in this same game. Look for that alternate year thing to continue again as we go to Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara to play the STANFORD CARDINAL (buying to + 4 1/2) as my 10 Star PAC-12 Decider! NOTES: Things are heating up as we went a perfect 7-0 on Friday & Saturday with a 2-0 record in the NHL & a 5-0 in CFB. Buying points DOES MATTER as we took the odds-makers adjustment back with Wisconsin getting + 6 1/2. It worked like a charm with them getting edged 27-21. UCF came through for us in 2 OT's on the ML as Scott Frost found a way to overcome his team's early turnovers. We were true on with predicting Georgia OUTRIGHT as Auburn clearly showed signs as predicted of Iron Bowl hangover. Stick with us as we had an excellent bowl season last year & should again where only certain teams will find their layoffs beneficial. We'll have them for you RIGHT HERE so stayed tuned in the upcoming 5 weeks of bowl season action. My 2017-18 CFB Overall Seasonal Record is 41-39 -----51%


 
 
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